Coin Flip Probability Formula:
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The coin flip probability calculates the chance of getting exactly k successes (e.g., heads) in n independent Bernoulli trials (flips) with probability p=0.5 for each trial. This models a fair coin with equal probability for heads and tails.
The calculator uses the binomial probability formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula accounts for all possible sequences that give exactly k successes in n flips, with each sequence having probability (1/2)^n.
Details: Understanding coin flip probabilities is fundamental in probability theory and has applications in statistics, game theory, and decision making.
Tips: Enter the total number of flips and desired number of heads (or tails). The number of successes must be less than or equal to the number of flips.
Q1: What if I want at least k successes?
A: You would need to sum the probabilities for k, k+1, ..., n successes.
Q2: Does this work for unfair coins?
A: No, this calculator assumes a fair coin (p=0.5). For unfair coins, use \( p^k(1-p)^{n-k} \binom{n}{k} \).
Q3: What's the probability of exactly 5 heads in 10 flips?
A: About 24.61% (0.24609375 exactly).
Q4: How does this relate to the normal distribution?
A: For large n, the binomial distribution approximates a normal distribution (Central Limit Theorem).
Q5: What is the binomial coefficient?
A: It represents the number of ways to choose k successes from n trials, calculated as \( \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \).